StatSheet Projects Wisconsin as NCAA Tournament Bubble Team Eight Seed: 02/10/2013

Filed under StatSeed Update on February 10th, 2013
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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.

StatSheet now projects Wisconsin as a bubble team for the NCAA Tournament with potentially an eight seed. The Badgers are unranked in the AP Poll and sit at #36 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 17-7 overall record and an 8-3 record in the Big Ten.

Over the last four games, Wisconsin registered quality wins against AP #3 Michigan and RPI #31 Illinois and a win against Iowa but also dropped one against AP #10 Ohio State.

Wisconsin is lukewarm against top competition, with a 9-6 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 5-5 record against the RPI Top 50 but a 3-5 record against AP ranked teams. The Badgers have five quality wins including AP #3 Michigan, RPI #31 Illinois (2 wins), AP #18 Minnesota, and AP #1 Indiana. Their single bad loss came against RPI #102 Virginia.

The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Arizona State (18-6, 7-4 Pac 12, StatRank #66), Saint Mary's (21-4, 10-1 West Coast, StatRank #51), Wichita State (20-5, 9-4 Missouri Valley, StatRank #44), and Virginia Commonwealth (19-5, 7-2 A-10, StatRank #39).

The first four teams out are Alabama (15-8, 7-3 SEC, StatRank #71), Boise State (16-7, 4-5 Mountain West, StatRank #49), Southern Miss (18-6, 7-2 C-USA, StatRank #47), and Villanova (15-9, 6-5 Big East, StatRank #69).

The next four out are California (13-9, 5-5 Pac 12, StatRank #67), Rutgers (12-10, 3-8 Big East, StatRank #68), Saint Louis (18-5, 7-2 A-10, StatRank #56), and Temple (16-7, 5-4 A-10, StatRank #39).

Regional 1
#1Duke
#2Arizona
#3Gonzaga
#4Cincinnati
#5Butler
#6Marquette
#7Colorado State
#8Colorado
#9Belmont
#10Kentucky
#11Baylor
#12Maryland
#13Arizona State
#14Akron
#15FGCU
#16Davidson
#17Niagara
Regional 2
#1Florida
#2Kansas
#3Louisville
#4Georgetown
#5New Mexico
#6Missouri
#7Creighton
#8Illinois
#9Iowa State
#10Memphis
#11La Salle
#12Stanford
#13Bucknell
#14Harvard
#15Long Beach State
#16Northeastern
#17UNCA
Regional 3
#1Indiana
#2Miami (FL)
#3Michigan State
#4Kansas State
#5Oklahoma State
#6Notre Dame
#7NC State
#8UCLA
#9UNLV
#10Ole Miss
#11MTSU
#12VCU
#13Louisiana Tech
#14Stephen F. Austin
#15Montana
#16Western Illinois
#17SOU
Regional 4
#1Michigan
#2Syracuse
#3Ohio State
#4Minnesota
#5Oregon
#6Pittsburgh
#7Oklahoma
#8Wisconsin
#9North Carolina
#10San Diego State
#11St. John's
#12Wichita State
#13Saint Mary's
#14Valparaiso
#15Stony Brook
#16Bryant
#17NCCU

NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference


Conf
NCAA
Teams
Conf
Teams
Pct in
NCAA
Big East8 1650.0%
Big Ten7 1258.3%
Pac 126 1250.0%
Big 126 1060.0%
ACC5 1241.7%
SEC4 1233.3%
Mountain West4 850.0%
A-103 1421.4%
Missouri Valley2 1020.0%
West Coast2 922.2%
MAC1 128.3%
Patriot1 812.5%
Atlantic Sun1 1010.0%
Ohio Valley1 119.1%
Ivy League1 812.5%
SoCon1 128.3%
Big West1 911.1%
WAC1 812.5%
C-USA1 128.3%
Sun Belt1 128.3%
Big Sky1 911.1%
MAAC1 1010.0%
Big South1 119.1%
CAA1 128.3%
SWAC1 1010.0%
Southland1 128.3%
America East1 911.1%
Horizon1 1010.0%
Summit League1 1010.0%
NEC1 128.3%
MEAC1 137.7%

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Season Preview: Wisconsin is unlikely to have a better team than last year. Read our Season Preview
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Big Ten Standings

OverallConf
1 Michigan 28-9 15-3
 2Wisconsin 30-8 12-6
2 Michigan State 29-9 12-6
4 Nebraska 19-13 11-7
5 Ohio State 25-10 10-8
6 Iowa 20-13 9-9
7 Minnesota 25-13 8-10
8 Illinois 20-15 7-11
8 Indiana 17-15 7-11
10 Penn State 16-18 6-12
10 Northwestern 14-19 6-12
12 Purdue 15-17 5-13
Last updated: Apr 10th, 2014

2013-2014 Roster

#32 Evan Anderson Jr C 6-10 245
#34 Zach Bohannon Sr F 6-6 206
#30 Vitto Brown Fr F 6-8 237
#1 Ben Brust Sr G 6-1 196
#35 Riley Dearring Fr G 6-5 180
#15 Sam Dekker So F 6-7 220
#13 Duje Dukan Jr F 6-8 220
#21 Josh Gasser Jr G 6-3 190
#10 Nigel Hayes Fr F 6-7 250
#11 Jordan Hill Fr G 6-3 170
#12 Traevon Jackson Jr G 6-2 208
#44 Frank Kaminsky Jr C 6-11 234
#24 Bronson Koenig Fr G 6-3 190
#3 George Marshall So G 5-11 182
#5 Aaron Moesch Fr F 6-8 200
#33 Zak Showalter So G 6-2 192
#2 Jordan Smith Jr G 6-1 180